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Don’t Let Poverty Plan for Us, Northern Nigeria

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By Zainab Suleiman Buhari

“We cannot keep birthing into scarcity.”

That sentence is uncomfortable. But silence is costing us more.

Northern Nigeria is carrying the heaviest part of this burden right now. Not because our people are the problem. But because the math has changed, and we haven’t talked about it honestly yet.

Here’s the hard reflection, no sugarcoating:

First, we’re Planning a 2026 Country With 2006 Data. The last census was in 2006. That’s twenty years ago.

Yet today, Abuja still shares money for schools, hospitals, roads, and food subsidies using those same 2006 figures.

But people didn’t stop being born because the census stopped. UN estimates put Nigeria at 230M+ today. Northern states account for the largest share of that growth.

What it looks like on the ground:
–A classroom built for 40 now has 80 children sitting on the floor.
–A clinic built for 100 patients now has 300 on the benches and outside.
–A budget for “X” families is feeding “2X” families.

That’s not just “bad governance.” That’s bad arithmetic. You cannot divide a 2006 budget among 2026 mouths and expect it to work.

Secondly. Poverty + Population = A Pressure Cooker. In the
Northern Nigeria context which is less industrialized, formal jobs are few. Farmlands are shrinking because of desertification, banditry, and farmer-herder conflict. Climate change is pushing more people into fewer spaces.

When families keep expanding inside that pressure trap, 3 things happen:

  • Education dilutes: Too many pupils, too few teachers, too few or no books for them. The result is millions of children who spend several years in school and still can’t read or write.
  • Health collapses: More pregnancies and illnesses, fewer hospital beds, fewer doctors. The why of Nigeria’s maternal mortality and malnutrition rates are among the worst, globally, and the North leads in those numbers.
  • Desperation rises: Uneducated + unemployed + idle hands= the best breeding ground for extremist groups, drug networks, and bandit gangs’ recruitment havens. That’s part of the “multidimensional crime” source we see daily.
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We say “our population is our blessing.” But doesn’t a blessing without food, skills, or opportunity becomes a burden?

Thirdly, the Girl Child Tax: We Pay It Twice and Don’t Notice. In overstretched homes, the girl child sacrifices first.
She’s withdrawn from school to hawk, marry early, or raise her younger siblings. She gets pregnant young. She bears 6-8 children with a body that’s still young, when she’s a child herself.

She raises her own children that she has to look after, while sacrificing her own future.

But this comes with all assurances that high fertility doesn’t just make us many. It builds bigger traps for us. Even as countries like Bangladesh broke the poverty cycle in one generation by keeping girls in school + spacing births, we yet revel in retrogressive narratives to sustain the status quo.

In addition, The Land Math We Are Ignoring:
In 1970, a father in Kano could divide 10 hectares among 4 sons. Each had enough to farm and feed a family.

In 2026, his grandson is trying to divide 2.5 hectares among 8 sons. Each gets 0.3ha — barely a backyard.

Add desertification moving south by 600m every year, and you get “land famine.” When land can’t feed people, people move: To cities. To the streets. To conflict zones. On another way, that’s how population pressure breeds insecurity.

Furthermore, “Birth Control” is Not Anti-Child but Pro-Child
Let’s be clear: This is not about banning children. It’s about child spacing, planning and making affordability. All this adds to wellbeing and welfare for each one and the family.

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A child you can feed, school, clothe, and protect may be a citizen. But is a disaster waiting to happen.

Iran, Bangladesh, and Rwanda were all called “impossible cases.” Then they chose fewer, healthier, educated children over more, hungry ones. Today, their poverty level has dropped.

The next point is The Demographic Dividend We’re Losing. Every country that got rich had a choice to make, a window: fewer children to feed, more adults working, more money to save and invest. That’s how East Asia escaped poverty.

Nigeria is doing the opposite. We’re adding dependents faster than we’re adding opportunities or jobs.

The Simple rule: 1 salary + 10 children = a family of 11 poor people.
1 salary + 3 children = a family that can save, school kids and build a future.

The list goes on, especially The Northern Reality: We must talk about it because it’s our problem. It is not imported nor imposed. It is self made.

It must be:

  • Economic: “If I have another child this year, can I feed the 3 I already have?”
  • Religious/Cultural: Led by Imams, Sarakuna, and Uwar Gida. Islam places the child’s welfare first. Responsibility is ‘ihsan”. Spacing for the sake of the child’s life and learning is not a sin. It’s care.
  • Security: A region that cannot feed its youth cannot secure its future. Period.

Another issue is The Silence Industry.
Why don’t we talk about this openly? Because some people benefit from the silence.
Politicians get more votes from more people, even if they’re hungry. Aid budgets stay large when poverty is large. But then extremists find it easy to recruit idle, angry youth.

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It then means that the silence is profitable for a few. But it is expensive for the rest..

Let’s look into the future here. The 2040 Choice: The Two Nigeria
Project 15 years ahead.
Nigeria A – If We Stay Silent: 300M+ people. 60M out-of-school children. More desert encroaching will mean more crime. Then, we may import food and export our youth by dangerous routes.

Nigeria B – If We Talk Now: Smaller, healthier families. Educated and skilled girls and boys irrigated farms, booming factories with workers. We will be exporting goods, not desperation.

The difference between A and B starts with one honest conversation in one Zaure, one mosque, one WhatsApp group tonight.

The Viral Truth:
A nation is not a stadium. You don’t win by filling seats. A nation is a family. You win when every child at the table has food, a book to read and a future.

A country is not a womb. It’s a farm.
You don’t grow by scattering seeds on dry soil. You grow by watering the ones you planted.

Right now, we are producing citizens faster than we are producing opportunities. That gap is where poverty, crime, and hopelessness live.

So, the question is not “Should we control birth?” The question is: “Can we afford not to?”
If parents won’t plan, and government won’t count, poverty will plan for us. And poverty is a cruel planner.

~ Dr Zainab Suleiman Buhari

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Opinion

The UN Hypocritic, Irresponsible Walkout Of Shame: And Nigeria’s Terrorism at Home

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By H. E. Mejeh

Yesterday in New York, Nigerian delegates staged a well-rehearsed walkout from the United Nations General Assembly as Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, took the podium.

Dozens of delegates left the hall in protest of Israel’s war in Gaza and Lebanon. Netanyahu, unfazed, called them “moral cowards” and continued his speech.

It was a powerful scene for international cameras. But for any Nigerian watching at home, it was a scene of profound irresponsibility and hypocrisy.

Our government is very good at performing morality abroad, while abdicating its primary duty at home.

What moral standing do we have to walk out on terrorism?

Israel says it is fighting terrorism – Hamas, Hezbollah, Iran. You may agree or disagree with its methods. But its government leaves no doubt that it will defend its citizens at all costs. Netanyahu told the UN that attacking Iran “was one of the easiest decisions I’ve ever had to make” because the security of his people was non-negotiable.

What is Nigeria’s doctrine on terrorism?

For over 15 years, Boko Haram, ISWAP, bandits, and kidnappers have turned the North-East, North-West, and North-Central into killing fields. Thousands of our citizens have been slaughtered, our schoolgirls abducted, our farmers displaced, our soldiers ambushed, killed. Yet the response of the Nigerian government has been press releases, committees, and condolence messages.

We walk out against alleged genocide in Gaza, but we have normalized genocide in Benue, in Plateau, in Southern Kaduna, in Zamfara, in Borno. A government that cannot protect its own people has no business performing outrage on the world stage.

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The Lackadaisical War

1.No Clear Ideology: Israel has defined its enemy. Nigeria still calls terrorists “bandits,” “gunmen,” and “unknown gunmen,” as if naming them correctly would be too offensive.

2.No Accountability: When terrorists kill 40 citizens in a village, no security chief loses his job. When a school is attacked, no minister resigns. Failure is rewarded with tenure extension.

3.No Justice: Terror suspects are “repented” and reintegrated with stipends, while their victims rot in IDP camps without justice or compensation.

Which serious nation fights terrorism this way?

Our delegates can afford to fly Business Class to New York to walk out on Israel, but our soldiers in the trenches cannot afford basic drones, night-vision goggles, and timely air support.

The Truth

You cannot fight foreign injustice while you pamper domestic terror.

That UN walkout was not foreign policy. It was a distraction. A government that is failing to secure lives and property at home is trying to buy cheap moral credit abroad.

If our government had the same energy it used to walk out on Netanyahu to walk into Sambisa Forest, into the bandit camps of Zamfara, into the killer herdsmen hideouts in Benue, Nigeria would be safer today.

Charity begins at home. Security begins at home. Leadership begins at home.

Until we defeat the terrorists in Nigeria, we have no moral right to lecture any nation on how it defeats its own.

H. E. Mejeh Esq.
Lawyer with Conscience, Nurtured by Truth.

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Opinion

Why Tinubu Must Sack Non-Performing Works Minister Umahi Now!

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By Rufai Oseni

The Minister of Works is a key player in President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s government who is not performing well to help Mr President win the hearts of many Nigerians ahead of the crucial January 2027 Election.

I have been a staunch supporter of President Tinubu even before the 2023 Presidential Election.

I strongly disapprove of the performance of Works Minister, Sen. David Umahi. His failure is causing huge embarrassment and hatred to PBAT because of the hardship brought upon Nigerians on federal roads despite the trillions of naira released for road rehabilitation projects by PBAT.

I doubt if since May 29, 1999 there has been any Nigerian President who has shown so much commitment and determination to fix federal highways than President Tinubu

Believe me, if I were the Minister of Works under a very patriotic, committed and determined leader like President Tinubu, I would have restored these critical federal highways within the last three years with such trillions of naira released for this purpose. I say this from my knowledge and experience as an Engineer who headed Delta State Government Direct Labour Agency (DLA), an Agency statutorily charged with the construction, rehabilitation and maintenance of roads and who in August 2011 was saddled with the tough task of urgently restoring hundreds of kilometers of roads in my State that had collapsed and became death traps leading to fatal accidents and deaths of our people and commuters.

In less than two years and with only about three billion naira released by the State Government, I reconstructed and rehabilitated these collapsed roads, constructed some new ones and also opened up many new roads in our rural communities to enable our farmers to commute easily to their farms and transport their produce to urban cities.

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The records are there, he said, for anyone to go verify. He added that: Some of the asphalt paved roads I did over thirteen years ago are still standing firm today as if they were constructed just one week ago. I guarantee that these roads will last another ten years or more.

A patriotic and committed PBAT should not end up being daily abused by Nigerians who are rightly angry because of the hell they go through traveling on these roads; instead, Mr President should be receiving their praises and prayers if only his Minister of Works rightly utilized the funds released to him by the President to fix these roads.

I can tell Nigerians that President Tinubu is more pained and heartbroken than anyone else seeing reports of the hell Nigerians still go through traveling across our country on these federal roads.

Frankly if this disturbing situation continues on our federal highways I worry that Nigerians may express their anger against PBAT at the January 2027 Presidential Election except Mr President swiftly takes decisive action right now

The Minister’s Concrete Pavement Policy has been a disaster and a source for huge waste of public funds. It is ridiculous and makes no engineering and economic sense at all! What has Concrete Pavements got to do on Lokoja to Abuja, Abuja to Kaduna highways? I am surprised that some State Govs even adopted his Concrete Pavement Policy and wasting their States’ Funds.

It is wrong for the Minister to promise that within the next two weeks he will restore the collapsed sections of Benin-Agbor-Asaba and Benin-Sapele-Effurun Fedeal Highways. He knows that this is not possible in this peak of rainy season. Only palliative works can be done just to allow vehicles to maneuver.

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It is also wrong for the NDDC to be directed to take over responsibility meant for the Ministry of Works and for which trillions of naira have been released to the Ministry. Statutory Funds approved and released to NDDC are not meant for such Federal Road Projects; they are meant to take care of very special and pressing needs of our people of the Oil and Gas Producing States of Niger Delta Region

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Opinion

When a 6-year old embodied Chinese hospitality

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By Philip Nyam

Last month, I was part of a delegation that participated in the Seminar on Young Leaders under the Global Development Initiative (GDI), organised by the University of International Business and Economics (UIBE), in Beijing, China. We came from diverse countries including Angola, Antigua and Barbuda, Gambia, Grenada, the Kurdish Iran, Nigeria, Sierra-Leone, Macedonia, and South Africa. Available records show that the UIBE has, since 2000, with the approval of the Chinese Ministry of Commerce, conducted more than 140 bilateral and multilateral training programmes, hosting over 350,000 participants.

The UIBE is by every standard a welcoming academic environment, a great citadel of learning renowned for building leaders for tomorrow. It is axiomatic that one of the problems plaguing developing or underdeveloped countries is poor leadership. This effort is to lay a solid foundation and bridge the gap.

The GDI, of course, is China’s ambitious proposal for worldwide development, launched by President Xi Jinping at the UN General Assembly on September 21, 2021. The idea is simple and urgent: Push the UN 2030 Agenda and the SDGs, but anchor them in what developing countries need most. Poverty reduction, food security, vaccines and health, financing for development, climate change and green development, industrialisation and the digital economy. In other words, the GDI is China’s call for a shared future, and it is a project that puts developing countries first.

So, for two weeks at UIBE, we lived inside that idea. Despite the fact that some of us were visiting China for the first time, we quickly integrated. We were taught China’s basic national conditions and achievements since reform and opening up. We studied how China is implementing the UN 2030 Agenda through poverty alleviation. We took lectures on China’s political system, the digital economy, artificial intelligence, intellectual property, Chinese history, Chinese culture, and the cultivation of young leaders under GDI. The participants were also exposed to the philosophy behind Chinese steady development: “If you want to be rich, build the roads”. The lecturers were professional and down-to-earth; the supervisors and volunteers were amazing, and the people were generally friendly and welcoming. And so, we read, digested, and assimilated what we were taught.

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Between classes, China opened itself to us. We tasted our way through Beijing and Sichuan’s rich cuisine. In Chengdu, capital city of Sichuan Province, we watched Sichuan Opera face-changing until we couldn’t tell where the mask ended and the wonder began. We sat for tea and learned the quiet discipline in every pour. At the Panda Base, we met giant pandas and red pandas, black-and-white ambassadors that everyone falls for. We climbed the Great Wall and felt history under our feet. We had the rare opportunity of participating in the Fourth China International Supply Chain Expo, and we visited the Museum of Foreign Economic and Trade Relations.

It was indeed a masterclass in policy and culture. But some encounters don’t fit into a seminar schedule. They slip between lectures, between the Great Wall and a bowl of hotpot, and end up rewriting the whole trip for you. And the lesson I keep returning to came from a narrow lane lit by lanterns. It didn’t happen in a lecture hall; it happened in Kuanzhai Alley of Chengdu.

My encounter with a six-year-old boy named Eno. It was a rare encounter that has left an indelible impression on me. Kuanzhai’s Alley is Chengdu’s living room. Red lanterns, teahouse chatter, the smell of spice in the air. We were taking a walk into the Alley when a small voice stopped me. Eno was six. Bright eyes. Questions ready before his hello finished. “Where from? Your name? Do you love football?” At six, he spoke good English. He knew Cristiano Ronaldo. He asked about pandas and why only Chengdu keeps them so close. He asked about the ongoing World Cup in the USA, Canada, and Mexico. He talked like a child with maps and goals in his head, but he listened like someone older. No shyness, no demand. Just courage wrapped in courtesy.

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Then came the gesture I did not expect. Eno pressed a small picture of a panda into my hand. “Wish you well,” he said, and gave it free. No blood, no prior knowing. A stranger’s hand, offering love without a sound. I felt it immediately. I had to look away for a second. Because tears rose unbidden. In that moment, Eno was not just a boy in an alley. He was the idea behind GDI made human: spreading love, uniting humanity, one small act at a time. To me, Eno is not just a little boy in an alley; he is China’s welcome, wide and deep.

That small panda picture now lives in my sitting room in Nigeria. I guard it. Some days it’s just paper and ink. Other days it’s a window back to Chengdu, to lantern light, to a boy who decided a stranger should feel welcome.

Eno taught me something the lectures circled but could not say as plainly: kindness needs no reason. It just begins. Love needs no reason to be sweet. If GDI is about building a more connected, equitable world, I saw it in miniature that afternoon. Policy, trade, and technology matter. So do pandas, football, and a child’s unguarded generosity.

I hope to reconnect with Eno someday. Until then, I’ll keep looking for that golden light in Kuanzhai’s alleys, and I’ll keep telling the story of the six-year-old who reminded a visitor from Nigeria that the soul of a city, a nation, can fit in one small hand.

…Philip Nyam participated in the just-concluded Seminar on Young Leaders under the GDI in Beijing.

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